AFC Champions League Gameweek 1
Sep 15, 2026 1.15pm
2
1
LIVE Workers' Stadium
  • Chadrac Akolo 2' goal
  • Xizhe Zhang  12' goal
  • goal Jakob Tranziska 6'

Beijing Guoan vs Pohang Steelers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Beijing Guoan

All competitions

Pohang Steelers

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.62% and a win for Pohang Steelers had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%) , while for a Pohang Steelers win it was 1-2 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Beijing Guoan 59.12% ▲ (+1.81)
Draw 20.62% ▼ (-0.59)
Pohang Steelers 20.29% ▼ (-1.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.01% ▲ (+0.67)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.71% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 1.5 18.29% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 2.5 60.79% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 2.5 39.21% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 3.5 38.18% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 3.5 61.82% ▼ (-0.90)
Over 4.5 24.64% ▲ (+1.04)
Under 4.5 75.36% ▼ (-1.04)

First Half Winner

Beijing Guoan 44.92% ▲ (+2.21)
Draw 36.98% ▼ (-0.98)
Pohang Steelers 18.1% ▼ (-1.23)

Team To Score First

Beijing Guoan 63.11% ▲ (+3.18)
No Goal 4.54% ▼ (-0.08)
Pohang Steelers 32.35% ▼ (-3.11)

Corners

Over 8 61.86% ▲ (+0.75)
Equal 8 10.26% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 8 27.88% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 9 51.08% ▲ (+0.93)
Equal 9 10.78% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 9 38.14% ▼ (-0.75)
Over 10.5 40.61% ▲ (+1.01)
Under 10.5 59.39% ▼ (-1.01)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 1.5 58.81% ▲ (+1.66)
Under 1.5 41.19% ▼ (-1.66)
Over 2.5 33.03% ▲ (+1.59)
Under 2.5 66.97% ▼ (-1.58)
Over 3.5 15.54% ▲ (+1.20)
Under 3.5 84.46% ▼ (-1.21)

Pohang Steelers Goals

Over 0.5 56.24% ▼ (-1.33)
Under 0.5 43.76% ▲ (+1.33)
Over 1.5 25.53% ▼ (-1.06)
Under 1.5 74.47% ▲ (+1.07)
Over 2.5 8.6% ▼ (-0.94)
Under 2.5 91.4% ▲ (+0.95)
Over 3.5 2.37% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 3.5 97.63% ▲ (+0.32)

Score analysis

Beijing Guoan 59.13%
Draw 20.62%
Pohang Steelers 20.29%
Beijing Guoan
2-1 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.23)
3-1 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.16)
3-0 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.25)
Other @ 15.45% ▲ (+1.26)
Total : 59.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.5% ▼ (-0.32)
2-2 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 20.62%
Pohang Steelers
1-2 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.19)
0-1 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.23)
0-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.24)
Other @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.25)
Total : 20.29%