AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 13, 2023 at 8am UK
Mckinley Hill Football Field

Kaya
1 - 3
Incheon United

Rota (53')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Park (12'), Woo-Jin (25'), Do-Hyuk (90+4' pen.)
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Kaya and Incheon United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kaya

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Last Game: Shandong 6-1 Kaya
Tuesday, November 28 at 12pm in AFC Champions League
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Incheon United

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Last Game: Incheon United 2-1 Yokohama
Tuesday, November 28 at 10am in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaya win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for Incheon United had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kaya win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Incheon United win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
KayaDrawIncheon United
52.23% (13.445 13.45)21.81% (-2.288 -2.29)25.96% (-11.155 -11.16)
Both teams to score 63.65% (2.577 2.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.45% (5.825 5.83)35.55% (-5.824 -5.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.39% (6.171 6.17)57.6% (-6.17 -6.17)
Kaya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.15% (7.585 7.59)13.85% (-7.584 -7.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.77% (13.216 13.22)41.23% (-13.216 -13.22)
Incheon United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (-3.851 -3.85)26.12% (3.852 3.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81% (-5.47 -5.47)61.18% (5.471 5.47)
Score Analysis
    Kaya 52.23%
    Incheon United 25.96%
    Draw 21.81%
KayaDrawIncheon United
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.987 0.99)
1-0 @ 7.15% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-0 @ 7.07% (1.408 1.41)
3-1 @ 6.25% (1.888 1.89)
3-0 @ 4.66% (1.752 1.75)
3-2 @ 4.2% (0.919 0.92)
4-1 @ 3.09% (1.41 1.41)
4-0 @ 2.3% (1.183 1.18)
4-2 @ 2.08% (0.812 0.81)
5-1 @ 1.22% (0.704 0.7)
4-3 @ 0.93% (0.296 0.3)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.565 0.57)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 52.23%
1-1 @ 9.6% (-1.44 -1.44)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.62% (-1.155 -1.16)
3-3 @ 1.88% (0.237 0.24)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 6.44% (-1.848 -1.85)
0-1 @ 4.86% (-2.312 -2.31)
0-2 @ 3.26% (-2.124 -2.12)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-1.268 -1.27)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.347 -0.35)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-1.237 -1.24)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.591 -0.59)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.244 -0.24)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 25.96%

Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 11am
Group Stage
Incheon United
4-0
Kaya
Mugosa (6', 19' pen.), Hernandes (36'), M'Poku (74')