MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 22:48:58| >> :120:36487:36487:
[monks data]
Sassuolo logo
Serie A | Gameweek 35
Jul 21, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Citta del Tricolore
Milan logo

Sassuolo
1 - 2
AC Milan

Caputo (42' pen.)
Bourabia (22'), Locatelli (34')
Bourabia (45+7')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ibrahimovic (19', 45+2')
Hernandez (38'), Bennacer (61'), Laxalt (76'), Bonaventura (85')

Preview: Sassuolo vs. AC Milan - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A fixture between Sassuolo and AC Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Sassuolo play host to AC Milan on Tuesday evening aware that only maximum points will do if they wish to remain in the race for the top six in the Serie A standings.

Milan - holding an eight-point advantage over their next opponents - make the trip to the Mapei Stadium with the same end-of-season target, which was made more achievable with a dominant win over Bologna.


Match preview

AC Milan manager Stefano Pioli pictured in February 2020© Reuters

At a time when there has been growing speculation regarding his future, Stefano Pioli has transformed AC Milan into one of the form teams in Serie A.

Since the resumption, six wins and two draws have been recorded from eight matches, the latest victory coming on Saturday evening as I Rossoneri thrashed Bologna by a 5-1 scoreline.

Despite a show of petulance from Zlatan Ibrahimovic after his substitution, Pioli was full of praise for his players, stating that they have transformed themselves from a group of individuals into a team.

Ahead of games against Sassuolo and Atalanta BC, two other teams on lengthy unbeaten runs, those comments may have been partly for effect at a time when the 54-year-old needs to convince club officials to keep faith with him.

Nevertheless, it cannot be disputed that Milan seem to be on their biggest upward trajectory for some time, one which they will hope will lead to a return to European football.

Like the visitors, Sassuolo head into the contest on the back of eight matches without recording a loss, a run which has featured four victories and four draws.

While two of those stalemates have come over the past week, they were accompanied by varying levels of frustration having held leads against leaders Juventus and inconsistent Cagliari, who played for more than 45 minutes at a man disadvantage.

Roberto De Zerbi cannot be too critical of his team with the club having improved from 11th to eighth since the resumption, but there is still a feeling that they should be closer to the likes of Napoli and Tuesday's opponents.

Although the lack of clean sheets remains an issue, Francesco Caputo goes into the game looking to further improve on a run of five goals and three assists from his last eight appearances.

Sassuolo Serie A form: WWWWDD

AC Milan Serie A form: DWWDWW


Team News

Jeremie Boga pictured for Sassuolo in October 2019© Reuters

Despite the disappointment of the draw at Cagliari, Sassuolo boss De Zerbi may opt to keep the same starting lineup.

Giacomo Raspadori is a potential replacement for Lukas Haraslin if De Zerbi decides to include another recognised attacker in the final third, with Jeremie Boga continuing down the left flank.

Barring any late fitness issues, Pioli could take the same approach with regards to his Milan XI.

Piolo has already acknowledged that Ibrahimovic was only withdrawn against Bologna to maintain his fitness levels, suggesting that the veteran Swede will retain his place in attack.

That is expected to result in Rafael Leao staying among the replacements alongside the likes of Giacomo Bonaventura and Lucas Paqueta.

Sassuolo possible starting lineup:
Pegulo; Mulder, Santos, Ferrari, Rogerio; Djurcic, Locatelli, Traore; Raspadori, Caputo, Boga

AC Milan possible starting lineup:
Donnarumma; Calabria, Kjaer, Romagnoli, Hernandez; Bennacur, Kessie; Saelemaekers, Calhanoglu, Rebic; Ibrahimovic


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Sassuolo 1-2 AC Milan

This has all the makings of a high-quality encounter. However, despite emerging as surprise contenders for a European place, we feel that Sassuolo may have to take too many gambles to gain all three points, allowing their opponents to capitalise at the other end.



ID:407119: cacheID:407119:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:restore:7242:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.09%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Restore Data
Share this article now:
AC Milan manager Stefano Pioli pictured in February 2020
Read Next:
Saturday's Serie A predictions including AC Milan vs. Bologna
>
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan29244171145776
2AC Milan29195555332262
3Juventus29178444232159
4Bologna29159542251754
5Roma29156855352051
6Atalanta BCAtalanta28145951321947
7Napoli29129844331145
8Fiorentina2812794132943
9Lazio29134123633343
10Monza2911993236-442
11Torino29101182826241
12Genoa29810113136-534
13Lecce29610132645-1928
14Udinese29415102844-1627
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2968152639-1326
16CagliariCagliari2968152950-2126
17Empoli2967162243-2125
18FrosinoneFrosinone2966173760-2324
19SassuoloSassuolo2965183356-2323
20Salernitana2928192359-3614


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!