Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.99%) and 2-0 (5.35%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for SC Paderborn in this match.