Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.