Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.