Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-0 (8.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.