Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.32% and a win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 21.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%) , while for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.