Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.