Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 0-1 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.