Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-0 (8.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.