Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (7.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.