2.Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 5, 2026 12.00pm
Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel vs Nuremberg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 12.30pm
Magdeburg 2 - 0 Holstein Kiel
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Phil Harres

Nuremberg

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 7.30pm
Nuremberg 4 - 1 Arminia Bielefeld
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Mohamed Alì Zoma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Nuremberg has a probability of 34.41% and a draw has a probability of 24.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Nuremberg win is 1-2 (7.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.98%).

Result

Holstein Kiel 40.64% (+0.83)
Draw 24.99% (-0.09)
Nuremberg 34.41% (-0.71)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.14% (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.03% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 20.97% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 57.36% (+0.69)
Under 2.5 42.64% (-0.69)
Over 3.5 34.65% (+0.54)
Under 3.5 65.35% (-0.54)
Over 4.5 20.53% (+0.52)
Under 4.5 79.47% (-0.52)

First Half Winner

Holstein Kiel 32.89% (+0.29)
Draw 37.29% (-0.78)
Nuremberg 29.82% (+0.50)

Team To Score First

Holstein Kiel 49.93% (+0.66)
No Goal 5.93%
Nuremberg 44.14% (-0.66)

Corners

Over 8 66.42% (+2.07)
Equal 8 10.13% (-0.42)
Under 8 23.45% (-1.63)
Over 9 55.36% (+2.33)
Equal 9 11.06% (-0.27)
Under 9 33.58% (-2.07)
Over 10.5 44.29% (+2.41)
Under 10.5 55.71% (-2.41)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 1.5 43.38% (+0.93)
Under 1.5 56.62% (-0.93)
Over 2.5 19.77% (+0.83)
Under 2.5 80.23% (-0.82)
Over 3.5 7.07% (+0.44)
Under 3.5 92.93% (-0.43)

Nuremberg Goals

Over 0.5 70.04% (-0.44)
Under 0.5 29.96% (+0.45)
Over 1.5 38.74% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 61.26% (+0.23)
Over 2.5 16.3% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 83.7% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 6.09% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 93.91% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Holstein Kiel 40.63%
Draw 24.98%
Nuremberg 34.41%
Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 8.88% (+0.15)
1-0 @ 7.98% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 5.83% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.36% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 3.4% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 3.34% (+0.09)
Other @ 6.84% (+0.35)
Total : 40.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.93%
3-3 @ 1.6% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.23% (+0.09)
Total : 24.98%
Nuremberg
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.08)
0-1 @ 7.08% (-0.27)
0-2 @ 4.87% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.06)
Other @ 5.86% (+0.02)
Total : 34.41%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga
Mar 14, 2026 12.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT Holstein-Stadion
  • A. Kaprálik 29' goal
  • Kasper Davidsen 45'+8' goal
  • Steven Skrzybski 60' yellowcard
  • Phil Harres 71' yellowcard
  • Lasse Rosenboom 77' yellowcard
  • Stefan Schwab 77' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Justvan 14'
  • goal Julian Justvan 22'
  • yellowcard Noah Maboulou 46'
  • yellowcard Finn Becker 66'
  • goal Mohamed Ali Zoma 72'
  • yellowcard Styopa Mkrtchyan 79'
  • yellowcard Piet Scobel 86'
  • yellowcard Javier Fernandez 86'
2.Bundesliga
Oct 19, 2025 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 12.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Max-Morlock-Stadion
  • Joseph Hungbo 5' yellowcard
  • Joseph Hungbo 12' redcard
  • Jens Castrop 42' yellowcard
  • Jan Gyamerah 45' yellowcard
  • goal Marko Ivezic 20'
  • yellowcard Alexander Bernhardsson 30'
  • goal Shuto Machino 34'
  • goal Alexander Bernhardsson 43'
  • goal Nicolai Remberg 79'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2023 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Holstein-Stadion
  • Holmbert Fridjonsson 59' yellowcard
  • Philipp Sander 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kanji Okunuki 33'
  • goal Tim Handwerker 68'
  • yellowcard Florian Flick 71'
  • goal Can Uzun 77'
  • yellowcard Jens Castrop 78'
  • yellowcard Mats Daehli 90'+5'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Apr 15, 2023 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Steven Skrzybski 19' goal
  • Fabian Reese 39' goal
  • goal Felix Lohkemper 65'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Oct 9, 2022 12.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lino Tempelmann 39' goal
  • Christoph Daferner 90'+4' goal
  • goal Steven Skrzybski 62'
  • goal Fabian Reese 66'
  • goal Steven Skrzybski 80'