2.Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Holstein Kiel
Sep 5, 2026 12.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Holstein-Stadion
Nuremberg
  • Adrián Kaprálik 12' yellowcard
  • David Zec 16' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Balzi 36' yellowcard
  • Phil Harres 45'+1' goal
  • Adrián Kaprálik 50' goal
  • Leon Parduzi 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eric Porstner 34'
  • goal Adam Markhiev 41'
  • goal Piet Scobel 56'
  • yellowcard Rafael Lubach 77'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Alì Zoma 83'

Holstein Kiel vs Nuremberg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 12.30pm
Magdeburg 2 - 0 Holstein Kiel
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Phil Harres

Nuremberg

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 7.30pm
Nuremberg 4 - 1 Arminia Bielefeld
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Mohamed Alì Zoma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (7.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

Holstein Kiel 40.58% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 24.94% ▼ (-0.05)
Nuremberg 34.48% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.26% ▲ (+0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.09% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 20.91% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 57.46% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 42.54% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 34.81% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 65.19% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 4.5 20.66% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 4.5 79.34% ▼ (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Holstein Kiel 32.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 37.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Nuremberg 29.86% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Holstein Kiel 49.93%
No Goal 5.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Nuremberg 44.17% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 66.57% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 8 10.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 23.31% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 9 55.51% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.06%
Under 9 33.43% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 10.5 44.42% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 10.5 55.58% ▼ (-0.14)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 1.5 43.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 56.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 19.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 80.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 92.9% ▼ (-0.04)

Nuremberg Goals

Over 0.5 70.1% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 29.9% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 38.88% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 61.12% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 16.42% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 83.58% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 6.16% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 93.84% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Holstein Kiel 40.57%
Draw 24.95%
Nuremberg 34.48%
Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 8.86% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.96% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.34%
Other @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 40.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.94% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 24.95%
Nuremberg
1-2 @ 7.99%
0-1 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 34.48%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel
Mar 14, 2026 12.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT Holstein-Stadion
Nuremberg
  • A. Kaprálik 29' goal
  • Kasper Davidsen 45'+8' goal
  • Steven Skrzybski 60' yellowcard
  • Phil Harres 71' yellowcard
  • Lasse Rosenboom 77' yellowcard
  • Stefan Schwab 77' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Justvan 14'
  • goal Julian Justvan 22'
  • yellowcard Noah Maboulou 46'
  • yellowcard Finn Becker 66'
  • goal Mohamed Ali Zoma 72'
  • yellowcard Styopa Mkrtchyan 79'
  • yellowcard Piet Scobel 86'
  • yellowcard Javier Fernandez 86'
2.Bundesliga
Nuremberg
Oct 19, 2025 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Holstein Kiel
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Nuremberg
Apr 6, 2024 12.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Max-Morlock-Stadion
Holstein Kiel
  • Joseph Hungbo 5' yellowcard
  • Joseph Hungbo 12' redcard
  • Jens Castrop 42' yellowcard
  • Jan Gyamerah 45' yellowcard
  • goal Marko Ivezic 20'
  • yellowcard Alexander Bernhardsson 30'
  • goal Shuto Machino 34'
  • goal Alexander Bernhardsson 43'
  • goal Nicolai Remberg 79'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Holstein Kiel
Oct 29, 2023 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Holstein-Stadion
Nuremberg
  • Holmbert Fridjonsson 59' yellowcard
  • Philipp Sander 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kanji Okunuki 33'
  • goal Tim Handwerker 68'
  • yellowcard Florian Flick 71'
  • goal Can Uzun 77'
  • yellowcard Jens Castrop 78'
  • yellowcard Mats Daehli 90'+5'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Holstein Kiel
Apr 15, 2023 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Nuremberg
  • Steven Skrzybski 19' goal
  • Fabian Reese 39' goal
  • goal Felix Lohkemper 65'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Nuremberg
Oct 9, 2022 12.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT
Holstein Kiel
  • Lino Tempelmann 39' goal
  • Christoph Daferner 90'+4' goal
  • goal Steven Skrzybski 62'
  • goal Fabian Reese 66'
  • goal Steven Skrzybski 80'

Form Data

Magdeburg 2 - 0 Holstein Kiel
1860 Munich 0 - 2 Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel 1 - 2 St Pauli
Darmstadt 2 - 2 Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel 0 - 0 Eimsbutteler TV
Hoffenheim 3 - 1 Holstein Kiel
Nuremberg 4 - 1 Arminia Bielefeld
Viktoria Koln 1 - 1 Nuremberg
Greuther Furth 2 - 4 Nuremberg
Nuremberg 3 - 0 Dynamo Dresden
Nuremberg 2 - 1 Real Oviedo
Palermo 2 - 2 Nuremberg