EFL Cup
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT The Coventry Building Society Arena
  • Stephen Mfuni 23' yellowcard
  • Victor Torp 27' goal
  • Caleb Yirenkyi 46' yellowcard
  • Frank Onyeka 87' yellowcard
  • goal Tammy Abraham 7'
  • yellowcard Ross Barkley 26'
  • goal Ross Barkley 40'
  • yellowcard Aaron Wan-Bissaka 43'
  • goal Tammy Abraham 59'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Buendía 90'

Coventry City vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Coventry City

All competitions

Aston Villa

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result

Coventry City 43.28% (-2.48)
Draw 23.68% (-0.18)
Aston Villa 33.04% (+2.66)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.17% (+2.71)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.77% (+1.33)
Under 1.5 20.23% (-1.33)
Over 2.5 58.31% (+2.22)
Under 2.5 41.69% (-2.22)
Over 3.5 35.24% (+2.13)
Under 3.5 64.76% (-2.12)
Over 4.5 21.17% (+1.31)
Under 4.5 78.83% (-1.30)

First Half Winner

Coventry City 31.6% (-0.56)
Draw 40.1% (-0.81)
Aston Villa 28.3% (+1.38)

Team To Score First

Coventry City 49.58% (-2.47)
No Goal 5.44% (-0.46)
Aston Villa 44.98% (+2.92)

Corners

Over 8 50.08% (+2.15)
Equal 8 11.7% (-0.09)
Under 8 38.22% (-2.07)
Over 9 38.85% (+2.03)
Equal 9 11.23% (+0.12)
Under 9 49.92% (-2.15)
Over 10.5 28.92% (+1.78)
Under 10.5 71.08% (-1.77)

Coventry City Goals

Over 1.5 45.5% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 54.5% (+0.58)
Over 2.5 21.34% (-0.77)
Under 2.5 78.66% (+0.77)
Over 3.5 8.2% (-0.44)
Under 3.5 91.8% (+0.43)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 68.09% (+2.69)
Under 0.5 31.91% (-2.70)
Over 1.5 37.69% (+3.61)
Under 1.5 62.31% (-3.61)
Over 2.5 15.79% (+2.35)
Under 2.5 84.21% (-2.36)
Over 3.5 5.84% (+1.18)
Under 3.5 94.16% (-1.19)

Score analysis

Coventry City 43.28%
Draw 23.68%
Aston Villa 33.03%
Coventry City
2-1 @ 9% (-0.19)
1-0 @ 8.16% (-0.79)
2-0 @ 6.43% (-0.69)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 3.83% (-0.37)
3-2 @ 3.35% (+0.11)
Other @ 8.04% (-0.41)
Total : 43.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.50)
2-2 @ 6.28% (+0.74)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.46)
3-3 @ 1.49% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.03)
Total : 23.68%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 7.55% (+0.15)
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.72% (+0.28)
1-3 @ 3.32% (+0.25)
0-3 @ 2.69% (+0.50)
2-3 @ 2.45% (+0.35)
Other @ 5.68% (+1.21)
Total : 33.03%

Head to Head

Premier League
May 5, 2001 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League
Nov 25, 2000 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • David Thompson 22' yellowcard
  • Mustapha Hadji 83' goal
  • goal Dion Dublin 8'
  • yellowcard Gareth Barry 44'
  • yellowcard George Boateng 90'
Premier League
Mar 11, 2000 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ugo Ehiogu 45' goal
Premier League
Nov 22, 1999 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Cedric Roussel 8' goal
  • Robbie Keane 65' goal
  • goal Dion Dublin 41'
Premier League
Feb 27, 1999 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Dion Dublin 55' goal
  • goal John Aloisi 25'
  • goal George Boateng 51'
  • goal John Aloisi 73'
  • goal George Boateng 81'
Premier League
Oct 3, 1998 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Trond Egil Soltvedt 71' goal
  • goal Ian Taylor 29'
  • goal Ian Taylor 39'