MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 17:12:21| >> :600:1786410:1786410:
Nacional
Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Casa Pia

Nacional
0 - 0
Casa Pia


Sousa (12'), Esteves (19'), Aurelio (42'), Pola (83'), Gustavo (88'), Danilovic (96')
FT
(aet)

Lelo (30'), Roberto (74'), Clayton (80'), Batista (105+1'), Larrazabal (105+2')
Nacional win 6-5 on penalties
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Nacional and Casa Pia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Nacional 6-1 Mirandela
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Casa Pia

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Estoril 4-0 Casa Pia
Friday, November 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%).

Result
NacionalDrawCasa Pia
41.11% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 26.3% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 32.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 52.54% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.96% (0.182 0.18)52.03% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.23% (0.157 0.16)73.77% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (0.104 0.1)24.98% (-0.105 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (0.14400000000001 0.14)59.62% (-0.145 -0.14)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.03% (0.093000000000004 0.09)29.97% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (0.113 0.11)66.08% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 41.11%
    Casa Pia 32.58%
    Draw 26.3%
NacionalDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 10.38% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 41.11%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 9.02% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 32.58%

Head to Head
Sep 28, 2023 8.15pm
Group Stage
Casa Pia
2-1
Nacional
Cardoso (55'), Clayton (90+4')
Cardoso (15'), Bernardo Neto Monteiro (37'), Neto (42'), Lelo (72')
Witi (3')
Daniel (48')
Feb 9, 2023 5.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Casa Pia
2-5
Nacional
Pinto (53'), Martins (80')
Esteves (44', 46'), Danilovic (94' pen.), Gomes (105+3' pen.), Gustavo (108')
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