Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 12, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Nacional0 - 5Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Casa Pia 2-5 Nacional
Thursday, February 9 at 5.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Thursday, February 9 at 5.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Braga 4-1 Estoril
Saturday, April 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Nacional 0-2 Braga
Having conceded nine goals without scoring across their last three matches, Nacional look destined to struggle against Braga, who should secure a fifth victory in six outings to put one foot in the Taca de Portugal final. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Braga |
21.04% ( 0.8) | 22.8% ( 0.27) | 56.16% ( -1.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.95% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
