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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Bologna logo

Spezia
2 - 2
Bologna

Bastoni (45+2'), Schouten (54' og.)
Holm (38'), Bastoni (56'), Sala (90+1'), Nikolaou (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arnautovic (7', 64')
Zirkzee (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Spezia
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Salernitana
Thursday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Bologna

Having produced just six goals between them so far, a high-scoring classic is unlikely to entertain the locals of La Spezia this weekend. Still over-reliant on Arnautovic, Bologna may once again fail to take maximum points, and their hosts should secure at least a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawBologna
43.29% (0.302 0.3) 26.86% (-0.262 -0.26) 29.85% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.73% (0.761 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.87% (0.98399999999999 0.98)55.13% (-0.983 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.62% (0.805 0.81)76.38% (-0.80500000000001 -0.81)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75% (0.59999999999999 0.6)25.25% (-0.6 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40% (0.82 0.82)60% (-0.819 -0.82)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53% (0.488 0.49)33.47% (-0.486 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9% (0.532 0.53)70.1% (-0.53 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 43.29%
    Bologna 29.85%
    Draw 26.86%
SpeziaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 11.63% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.107 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 43.29%
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.45% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.231 -0.23)
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 29.85%

How you voted: Spezia vs Bologna

Spezia
32.8%
Draw
39.3%
Bologna
27.9%
61
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2022 8pm
Bologna
2-1
Spezia
Arnautovic (40', 84')
Binks (19')
Manaj (11')
Manaj (22')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Spezia
0-1
Bologna

Reca (38'), Salcedo (71'), N'Zola (82')
Arnautovic (83' pen.)
Arnautovic (88')
Apr 18, 2021 2pm
Bologna
4-1
Spezia
Orsolini (12' pen.), Barrow (18'), Svanberg (54', 60')
Soumaoro (39')
Ismajli (34')
Bastoni (36')
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
Spezia
2-2
Bologna
N'Zola (19', 63')
Marchizza (16'), Gyasi (37'), Agoume (49'), Chabot (85'), Provedel (90+1'), Erlic (90+3')
Dominguez (72'), Barrow (90+2')
Tomiyasu (25')
Nov 25, 2020 4.30pm
Bologna
2-4
Spezia
Barrow (13'), Orsolini (45+1')
Dominguez (44'), Medel (50'), Soriano (104'), Sansone (116')
Piccoli (5'), Farias (64'), Maggiore (100', 119')
Marchizza (27'), Agudelo (58'), Chabot (62'), Deiola (78'), Krapikas (89'), Mattiello (114'), Maggiore (114')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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