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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Spezia Calcio logo

Inter Milan
3 - 0
Spezia

Martinez (35'), Calhanoglu (52'), Correa (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 1-0 Empoli
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Spezia

Almost invulnerable on home soil in recent years, Inter are unlikely to yield to such modest opponents as Spezia, even if sealing last week's win was a struggle. The Nerazzurri have averaged two goals a game over their last six matches, including pre-season, which highlights their fearsome attacking potential. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 74.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 10.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 3-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSpezia
74.4% (0.925 0.92) 15.23% (-0.441 -0.44) 10.37% (-0.48 -0.48)
Both teams to score 54.54% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.05% (0.753 0.75)31.95% (-0.751 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.49% (0.875 0.88)53.51% (-0.874 -0.87)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.71% (0.363 0.36)7.28% (-0.3619 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.64% (0.941 0.94)26.36% (-0.94 -0.94)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.83% (-0.328 -0.33)41.17% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.29% (-0.295 -0.29)77.71% (0.29600000000001 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 74.39%
    Spezia 10.37%
    Draw 15.23%
Inter MilanDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 10.28% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 8.98% (0.139 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.97% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.85% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-0 @ 5.88% (0.198 0.2)
4-1 @ 5.22% (0.13 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.08% (0.159 0.16)
5-1 @ 2.74% (0.118 0.12)
4-2 @ 2.32% (0.037 0.04)
6-0 @ 1.35% (0.093 0.09)
5-2 @ 1.21% (0.042 0.04)
6-1 @ 1.2% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 74.39%
1-1 @ 6.97% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 15.23%
1-2 @ 3.09% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-1 @ 2.66% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.18% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 0.92% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 10.37%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Spezia

Inter Milan
85.7%
Draw
7.8%
Spezia
6.5%
77
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 6pm
Spezia
1-3
Inter Milan
Maggiore (88')
Bastoni (10'), Nikolaou (86')
Brozovic (31'), Martinez (73'), Sanchez (90+3')
Dec 1, 2021 5.30pm
Inter Milan
2-0
Spezia
Gagliardini (36'), Martinez (58' pen.)
Martinez (44')

Manaj (31'), Kiwior (57')
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 20, 2020 2pm
Inter Milan
2-1
Spezia
Hakimi (52'), Lukaku (71' pen.)
Brozovic (18'), Conte (64')
Piccoli (90+4')
N'Zola (41'), Terzi (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Lecce37813163254-2237
14CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
15FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
19SassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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