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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Napoli logo

Spezia
0 - 3
Napoli


Manaj (45+10')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Politano (4'), Zielinski (25'), Demme (36')
Politano (51'), Ghoulam (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Spezia 0-2 Napoli

Napoli are ending the campaign in good form and depending on how strong Luciano Spalletti decides to go with his team selection, they should finish with three points here. With their survival confirmed, Spezia are unlikely to provide that much of a challenge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 9.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawNapoli
9.85% (-0.0959 -0.1) 15.84% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04) 74.3% (0.134 0.13)
Both teams to score 49.83% (-0.248 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.19% (-0.12 -0.12)36.8% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.02% (-0.128 -0.13)58.97% (0.126 0.13)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.43% (-0.271 -0.27)45.57% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.62% (-0.213 -0.21)81.38% (0.211 0.21)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.55% (0.0019999999999953 0)8.44% (-0.0020999999999987 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.68% (0.0039999999999907 0)29.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 9.85%
    Napoli 74.3%
    Draw 15.84%
SpeziaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 3.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 2.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 1.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 0.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 9.85%
1-1 @ 7.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.63% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 15.84%
0-2 @ 11.75% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 9.68% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 9.51% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 5.98% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 4.7% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-5 @ 2.96% (0.019 0.02)
1-5 @ 2.33% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-4 @ 1.85% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-6 @ 1.22% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-6 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
2-5 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 74.3%

How you voted: Spezia vs Napoli

Spezia
13.6%
Draw
9.1%
Napoli
77.3%
66
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
0-1
Spezia

Rui (45+2'), Petagna (75')
Jesus (37' og.)
Maggiore (19'), Kiwior (48'), Manaj (51')
May 8, 2021 2pm
Spezia
1-4
Napoli
Piccoli (64')
Ricci (34'), Estevez (58'), Vignali (62')
Zielinski (15'), Osimhen (23', 44'), Lozano (79')
Hysaj (6'), Osimhen (65')
Jan 28, 2021 8pm
Napoli
4-2
Spezia
Koulibaly (5'), Lozano (20'), Politano (30'), Elmas (40')
Lozano (10'), Rui (61')
Gyasi (70'), Acampora (73')
Jan 6, 2021 5pm
Napoli
1-2
Spezia
Petagna (58')
Di Lorenzo (87'), Manolas (90+3')
N'Zola (68' pen.), Pobega (82')
Ismajli (61'), Pobega (65'), Maggiore (72'), Terzi (88')
Ismajli (77')
Jan 10, 2017 8pm
Napoli
3-1
Spezia
Zielinski (3'), Giaccherini (56'), Gabbiadini (57')
Piccolo (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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