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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Juventus logo

Lecce
0 - 1
Juventus


Ceesay (59'), Pongracic (71'), Di Francesco (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fagioli (73')
Miretti (12'), Cuadrado (17'), Milik (23'), Gatti (29'), Iling (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Lecce
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Benfica 4-3 Juventus
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Lecce 0-1 Juventus

Only Lazio have kept more clean sheets than Juve's six in Serie A this season; Lecce are one of two sides yet to post a single shutout. Therefore, even if the visitors experience a Champions League hangover, they can score at least once at Via del Mare - if only from a set piece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
LecceDrawJuventus
39.54% (-0.133 -0.13) 25.89% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 34.57% (0.16 0.16)
Both teams to score 54.39% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.12% (0.149 0.15)49.88% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.13% (0.134 0.13)71.88% (-0.133 -0.13)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.83% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)59.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35% (0.16999999999999 0.17)27.65% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.81% (0.219 0.22)63.19% (-0.219 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 39.54%
    Juventus 34.57%
    Draw 25.89%
LecceDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 39.54%
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.86% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.83% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.57%

How you voted: Lecce vs Juventus

Lecce
12.0%
Draw
17.1%
Juventus
70.9%
117
Head to Head
Jun 26, 2020 8.45pm
Oct 26, 2019 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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