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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 11, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Monza

Lecce
1 - 1
Monza

Gonzalez (48')
Gendrey (45+3'), Di Francesco (52'), Banda (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sensi (35')
Birindelli (29'), Sensi (41'), Molina (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-0 Lecce
Monday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 0-2 Atalanta
Monday, September 5 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Monza

Neither side have scored many goals so far this season, and we would not be surprised if it is a low-scoring draw on Sunday between two teams low on confidence. The visitors would likely take that outcome to put a stop to their losing streak as they attempt to gain belief that they can compete at this level. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Monza had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
LecceDrawMonza
51.83% (-0.154 -0.15) 25.97% (0.058999999999997 0.06) 22.2% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 46.06% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.22% (-0.135 -0.13)56.77% (0.131 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.28% (-0.109 -0.11)77.71% (0.104 0.1)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.02% (-0.124 -0.12)21.98% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.71% (-0.185 -0.19)55.28% (0.182 0.18)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.04% (0.011999999999993 0.01)40.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.48% (0.013000000000002 0.01)77.52% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 51.83%
    Monza 22.2%
    Draw 25.96%
LecceDrawMonza
1-0 @ 13.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 51.83%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.43% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 22.2%

How you voted: Lecce vs Monza

Lecce
60.0%
Draw
33.3%
Monza
6.7%
75
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 2.35pm
Monza
0-1
Lecce

Donati (25'), Mazzitelli (45'), Pepin (50'), Paletta (54')
Coda (56' pen.)
Tuia (45+1'), Lucioni (63'), Gargiulo (66')
Oct 1, 2021 7.30pm
Lecce
3-0
Monza
Espeto (45+1'), Di Mariano (55'), Coda (70')
Barreca (51')

Marrone (32'), Mazzitelli (74')
May 4, 2021 1pm
Monza
1-0
Lecce
Barberis (41')
Balotelli (68')

Hjulmand (70')
Jan 4, 2021 3pm
Lecce
0-0
Monza

Mancosu (6'), Tachtsidis (14'), Dermaku (90+1')

Bettella (7')
Bellusci (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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