Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 76.8%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 8.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.22%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.9%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Lecce |
76.8% | 14.62% | 8.58% |
Both teams to score 48.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.89% | 35.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.88% | 57.11% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.49% | 7.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.04% | 26.95% |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.92% | 47.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.45% | 82.54% |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Lecce |
2-0 @ 11.85% 3-0 @ 10.22% 1-0 @ 9.15% 2-1 @ 8.93% 3-1 @ 7.71% 4-0 @ 6.62% 4-1 @ 4.99% 5-0 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 2.9% 5-1 @ 2.58% 4-2 @ 1.88% 6-0 @ 1.48% 6-1 @ 1.12% 5-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.96% Total : 76.79% | 1-1 @ 6.9% 0-0 @ 3.54% 2-2 @ 3.36% Other @ 0.83% Total : 14.62% | 0-1 @ 2.66% 1-2 @ 2.6% 0-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.31% Total : 8.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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