Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 72.03%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 11.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-2 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Genoa |
72.03% | 16.61% | 11.35% |
Both teams to score 52.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.03% | 35.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.93% | 58.06% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.25% | 8.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.94% | 30.05% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.77% | 42.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.37% | 78.63% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Genoa |
2-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.45% 1-0 @ 9% 3-0 @ 8.91% 3-1 @ 7.68% 4-0 @ 5.43% 4-1 @ 4.68% 3-2 @ 3.31% 5-0 @ 2.65% 5-1 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 2.02% 6-0 @ 1.07% 5-2 @ 0.98% 6-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.69% Total : 72.03% | 1-1 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 4.08% 0-0 @ 3.69% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.61% | 1-2 @ 3.34% 0-1 @ 3.18% 0-2 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 1.17% 1-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.32% Total : 11.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |