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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Atalanta logo

Fiorentina
1 - 1
Atalanta

Cabral (56' pen.)
Martinez (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maehle (37')
Maehle (38'), Ederson (60'), Toloi (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Atalanta 0-2 Bologna
Saturday, April 8 at 3.30pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta BC

With Fiorentina growing in confidence in recent weeks, they will fancy their chances of heaping the pressure on their opponents. However, we are backing Atalanta to bounce back from their defeat last time out, earning a share of the spoils which will at least keep their points tally ticking over. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawAtalanta BC
47.67% (1.217 1.22) 25.3% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 27.03% (-1.197 -1.2)
Both teams to score 52.69% (-0.827 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.57% (-0.662 -0.66)50.43% (0.662 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64% (-0.588 -0.59)72.36% (0.589 0.59)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (0.25999999999999 0.26)21.17% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.96% (0.404 0.4)54.04% (-0.404 -0.4)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (-1.274 -1.27)33.15% (1.274 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.24% (-1.429 -1.43)69.75% (1.431 1.43)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 47.67%
    Atalanta BC 27.03%
    Draw 25.3%
FiorentinaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.37 0.37)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.073 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.46% (0.354 0.35)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.38% (0.217 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.097 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 47.67%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.186 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.236 -0.24)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 27.03%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Atalanta

Fiorentina
55.8%
Draw
25.6%
Atalanta BC
18.6%
129
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 11.30am
Fiorentina
1-0
Atalanta
Piatek (56')
Milenkovic (15'), Amrabat (73')

Djimsiti (13'), Malinovskyi (45+1'), Demiral (45+2'), Toloi (74'), Sportiello (90+6')
Piero Gasperini (64')
Feb 10, 2022 5pm
Quarter-Finals
Atalanta
2-3
Fiorentina
Zappacosta (30'), Boga (56')
de Roon (7'), Pasalic (32')
Piatek (9' pen., 71'), Milenkovic (90+3')
Julio (38'), Martinez (45+1')
Martinez (79')
Sep 11, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
1-2
Fiorentina
Zapata (65' pen.)
Maehle (31'), Zapata (45+2'), Gosens (76'), Freuler (86'), Luis Palomino (90+2')
Vlahovic (33' pen., 49')
Bonaventura (45+2'), Julio (56'), Milenkovic (74'), Odriozola (81')
Apr 11, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
2-3
Atalanta
Vlahovic (57', 66')
Pezzella (32'), Amrabat (53'), Milenkovic (72')
Zapata (13', 40'), Ilicic (70' pen.)
Romero (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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