Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 66.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 14.05%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Fiorentina |
66.54% | 19.41% | 14.05% |
Both teams to score 50.97% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.6% | 42.4% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.19% | 64.81% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.15% | 11.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.87% | 37.12% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.82% | 42.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.41% | 78.59% |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Fiorentina |
2-0 @ 11.36% 1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 8.08% 3-1 @ 6.98% 4-0 @ 4.31% 4-1 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 3.01% 5-0 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.61% 5-1 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.57% Total : 66.53% | 1-1 @ 9.2% 0-0 @ 5% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.97% Total : 19.41% | 0-1 @ 4.32% 1-2 @ 3.97% 0-2 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.22% 1-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.53% Total : 14.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |