Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Yeni Sivas 4 Eylül Stadyumu
Sivasspor1 - 4Fiorentina
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cabral (44'), Milenkovic (62'), Goutas (78' og.), Castrovilli (89')
Martinez (65'), Milenkovic (90+2')
Martinez (65'), Milenkovic (90+2')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Istanbulspor 3-0 Sivasspor
Monday, March 13 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Monday, March 13 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Cremonese 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: Sivasspor 1-2 Fiorentina
If Fiorentina can replicate anywhere near the same quantity and quality of chances as they did in the first leg while, perhaps just as importantly, snuffing out Sivasspor's counter-attacking threat as effectively, Italiano's side will surely take their winning streak into the Conference League quarter-finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 54.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Sivasspor | Draw | Fiorentina |
21.92% ( 0.02) | 23.72% ( 0.09) | 54.36% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 52.25% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.58% ( -0.38) | 48.42% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.44% ( -0.35) | 70.55% ( 0.35) |
Sivasspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.49% ( -0.2) | 36.51% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.7% ( -0.2) | 73.3% ( 0.2) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.29% ( -0.18) | 17.71% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.64% ( -0.31) | 48.36% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Sivasspor 21.92%
Fiorentina 54.35%
Draw 23.72%
Sivasspor | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 21.92% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.57% Total : 54.35% |
How you voted: Sivasspor vs Fiorentina
Sivasspor
21.9%Draw
9.6%Fiorentina
68.5%73
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-09 05:03:58
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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