MX23RW : Saturday, April 27 15:57:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Frosinone logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Roma logo
Salernitana
Sassuolo logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Empoli logo

AC Milan
1 - 0
Empoli

Pulisic (40')
Reijnders (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fazzini (24'), Pezzella (53'), Zurkowski (65'), Cancellieri (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 4-2 Slavia Prague
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Cagliari
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Empoli

Now capable of scoring via a number of different sources, Milan should be able to rotate their squad between European contests and still take maximum points against Empoli. The Azzurri are much improved under Davide Nicola, but they must take a step-up in class on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 16.42%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawEmpoli
63.06% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 20.51% (0.053999999999998 0.05) 16.42% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.09% (-0.124 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.46% (-0.198 -0.2)42.53% (0.199 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.06% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)64.94% (0.19800000000001 0.2)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.13% (-0.080999999999989 -0.08)12.86% (0.083 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.75% (-0.173 -0.17)39.25% (0.174 0.17)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.93% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)39.07% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.21% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)75.79% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 63.05%
    Empoli 16.42%
    Draw 20.51%
AC MilanDrawEmpoli
2-0 @ 10.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.3% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 7.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.79% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.7% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 63.05%
1-1 @ 9.69% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.51%
0-1 @ 4.72% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.55% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 16.42%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Empoli

AC Milan
87.5%
Draw
7.3%
Empoli
5.2%
96
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 19
Empoli
0-3
AC Milan

Marin (81')
Loftus-Cheek (11'), Giroud (31' pen.), Traore (88')
Calabria (41'), Jimenez (54')
Apr 7, 2023 8pm
Oct 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Empoli
1-3
AC Milan
Bajrami (90+1')
Rebic (79'), Ballo-Toure (90+3'), Leao (90+6')
Mar 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
AC Milan
1-0
Empoli
Kalulu (19')
Tonali (90+4')
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Empoli
2-4
AC Milan
Bajrami (18'), Pinamonti (84' pen.)
Romagnoli (62')
Kessie (12', 42'), Florenzi (63'), Hernandez (69')
Tonali (39'), Bennacer (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan33216664392569
3Juventus331810547262164
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma33177959392058
6Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
7Lazio33164134235752
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona33710163144-1331
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3387182648-2231
18Udinese33416133150-1928
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!