Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 69.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 12.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
Falkirk | Draw | Cove Rangers |
69.26% ( 0.7) | 18.5% ( -0.36) | 12.25% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 48.83% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.47% ( 0.77) | 42.53% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.07% ( 0.77) | 64.93% ( -0.77) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.84% ( 0.4) | 11.16% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.37% ( 0.88) | 35.63% ( -0.88) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.96% ( -0.07) | 45.04% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.04% ( -0.05) | 80.96% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Falkirk | Draw | Cove Rangers |
2-0 @ 12.08% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.76% Total : 69.25% | 1-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.84% Total : 18.5% | 0-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.18% Total : 12.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 35 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 94 | 26 | 68 | 89 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 69 | 27 | 42 | 71 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 55 |
4 | Montrose | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 50 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 46 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 38 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 38 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 35 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 37 | 95 | -58 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |