Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 65.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 16.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 1-0 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cove Rangers | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
65.13% ( -0.02) | 18.61% ( 0.02) | 16.27% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.68% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.2% ( -0.09) | 33.8% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.36% ( -0.1) | 55.64% ( 0.1) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.23% ( -0.03) | 9.77% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.51% ( -0.07) | 32.49% ( 0.07) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.14% ( -0.05) | 33.86% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.47% ( -0.05) | 70.53% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Cove Rangers | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.94% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.03% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.5% Total : 65.13% | 1-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 18.61% | 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 16.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 35 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 94 | 26 | 68 | 89 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 69 | 27 | 42 | 71 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 55 |
4 | Montrose | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 50 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 46 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 38 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 38 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 35 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 37 | 95 | -58 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |