Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 24.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-0 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Dundee |
24.68% ( 0.31) | 25.72% ( -0.3) | 49.6% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.38% ( 1.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.23% ( 1.38) | 53.77% ( -1.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.76% ( 1.15) | 75.24% ( -1.15) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.07% ( 1.04) | 36.93% ( -1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.28% ( 1.02) | 73.72% ( -1.02) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.3% ( 0.56) | 21.7% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.14% ( 0.86) | 54.86% ( -0.86) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Dundee |
1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.76% Total : 24.68% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.46) 0-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.29% Total : 49.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |