Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | Queen's Park |
50.1% ( -0.29) | 22.81% ( -0.11) | 27.09% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 61.11% ( 0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.63% ( 0.86) | 39.37% ( -0.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.29% ( 0.89) | 61.71% ( -0.88) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.07% ( 0.21) | 15.93% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.81% ( 0.38) | 45.19% ( -0.38) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.68% ( 0.74) | 27.32% ( -0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.24% ( 0.95) | 62.77% ( -0.95) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | Queen's Park |
2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.65% Total : 50.1% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |