Scottish Challenge Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Dundee4 - 2Dunfermline
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Quarter-Finals clash between Dundee and Dunfermline Athletic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Mirren 0-0 Dundee (2-0 pen.)
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Partick 1-1 Dunfermline (3-2 pen.)
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Goals
for
for
32
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
43.67% ( 1.02) | 25.98% ( -0.74) | 30.34% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 52.66% ( 2.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.54% ( 2.85) | 51.46% ( -2.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.73% ( 2.43) | 73.27% ( -2.44) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.56% ( 1.77) | 23.44% ( -1.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.55% ( 2.5) | 57.45% ( -2.51) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.79% ( 1.26) | 31.21% ( -1.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.45% ( 1.45) | 67.55% ( -1.45) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee 43.67%
Dunfermline Athletic 30.34%
Draw 25.97%
Dundee | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.67) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.98% Total : 43.67% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.87) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.3) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.69) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.34% |
How you voted: Dundee vs Dunfermline
Dundee
52.9%Draw
41.2%Dunfermline Athletic
5.9%17
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-23 17:50:34
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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