Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 54.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Greenock Morton |
54.95% ( -0.17) | 24.38% ( -0) | 20.67% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 48.54% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.53% ( 0.22) | 52.47% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.86% ( 0.18) | 74.14% ( -0.19) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.99% ( 0.02) | 19% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.44% ( 0.03) | 50.56% ( -0.02) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.93% ( 0.31) | 40.07% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.28% ( 0.28) | 76.72% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 54.93% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.82% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.31% Total : 20.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
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