Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 23.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
51.2% ( -0.28) | 25.03% ( 0.28) | 23.76% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 50.46% ( -0.82) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.12% ( -1.09) | 51.88% ( 1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.37% ( -0.95) | 73.63% ( 0.95) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.73% ( -0.54) | 20.26% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.39% ( -0.88) | 52.61% ( 0.87) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.29% ( -0.59) | 36.71% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.5% ( -0.6) | 73.49% ( 0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
1-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.68% Total : 51.2% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 23.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
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