Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
35.93% ( 0.06) | 26.56% ( -0.16) | 37.51% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 52.34% ( 0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.43% ( 0.65) | 52.57% ( -0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.77% ( 0.55) | 74.23% ( -0.55) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.88% ( 0.35) | 28.12% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.2% ( 0.44) | 63.8% ( -0.44) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.81% ( 0.36) | 27.19% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.4% ( 0.47) | 62.6% ( -0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 35.93% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |