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Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
East End Park
Kilmarnock logo

Dunfermline
0 - 2
Kilmarnock


Hamilton (38'), McCann (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Murray (4'), Vassell (81')
Murray (37'), Deas (77')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Kilmarnock.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dunfermline 4-0 Annan
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Kilmarnock 3-0 Annan
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Dunfermline AthleticDrawKilmarnock
33.76% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 25.67% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 40.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.96% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.93% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)49.07% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.85% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)71.15% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)27.75% (0.026999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.67% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)63.32% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (-0.012 -0.01)23.93% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.84% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)58.15% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Dunfermline Athletic 33.76%
    Kilmarnock 40.56%
    Draw 25.67%
Dunfermline AthleticDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.46%
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.33% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 33.76%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 9.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-2 @ 6.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.16%
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 40.56%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Kilmarnock
2-0
Dunfermline
Lafferty (26'), Shaw (76')
Lyons (48'), Alston (73')

Lawless (49')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Dunfermline
0-0
Kilmarnock
Ambrose (22'), McCann (29'), Donaldson (59')
Sanders (17')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Kilmarnock
2-1
Dunfermline
Lafferty (67', 83')
Lafferty (11'), McKenzie (71'), McGinn (78'), Tait (90+2'), MacKay (90+2')
Lawless (59')
McCann (34'), Comrie (56'), Dorrans (75'), Donaldson (90+4')
Comrie (90+3')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Dunfermline
2-2
Kilmarnock
Thomas (74'), Comrie (90+5')
Pybus (27'), Connolly (90+6')
Hendry (68'), Shaw (75')
Hendry (61'), McGinn (79')
Oct 13, 2020 7.45pm
Group Stage
Kilmarnock
0-3
Dunfermline

Dicker (51'), Russell (88')
Murray (56'), Murray (73', 83')
Whittaker (90+1')
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