Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
55.42% ( 0.14) | 24.43% ( -0.01) | 20.15% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 47.65% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.74% ( -0.1) | 53.26% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.19% ( -0.09) | 74.81% ( 0.09) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.88% ( 0.02) | 19.12% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.25% ( 0.03) | 50.75% ( -0.02) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.92% ( -0.19) | 41.08% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.37% ( -0.17) | 77.63% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
1-0 @ 12.99% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.27% 4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 55.41% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.2% Total : 20.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |