Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 49.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
49.09% ( -0.16) | 26.85% ( 0.13) | 24.06% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 45.62% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.63% ( -0.42) | 58.37% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.02% ( -0.33) | 78.98% ( 0.33) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.12% ( -0.26) | 23.88% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.92% ( -0.37) | 58.08% ( 0.37) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.94% ( -0.21) | 40.06% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.29% ( -0.19) | 76.71% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.47% Total : 49.09% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.35% Total : 24.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |