Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (11.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
37.16% ( 0.2) | 28.8% ( -0.02) | 34.03% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 45.35% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.79% ( 0.06) | 61.21% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.85% ( 0.04) | 81.15% ( -0.05) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.37% ( 0.16) | 31.63% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.96% ( 0.18) | 68.03% ( -0.19) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.33% ( -0.09) | 33.67% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.67% ( -0.1) | 70.32% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.15% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.79% | 0-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
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