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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 25
Mar 29, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
3 - 1
Al Fayha

Hamdallah (30'), Al-Ghamdi (45+2'), Al-Sahafi (90+4')
Al-Ghamdi (74')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sabiri (25' pen.)
Al-Khaibari (45+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al Fayha, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Fateh 2-4 Al Ittihad
Saturday, March 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 2-1 Al Fayha

While Al Ittihad are likely to remain without their French international Karim Benzema for this match, Abderrazak Hamdallah has stepped up in a big way and will be looking to add to his 17-goal tally for the season in this one. Al Fayha deserve to be respected here but we feel the hosts will edge the result by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 18.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl Fayha
61.84% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 20.13% (-0.041 -0.04) 18.02% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 57.84% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.09% (0.095999999999997 0.1)37.9% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.83% (0.10400000000001 0.1)60.16% (-0.103 -0.1)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.2% (0.054000000000002 0.05)11.79% (-0.054 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.99% (0.115 0.12)37.01% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Al Fayha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.58% (0.0010000000000048 0)34.42% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.87% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.13% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 61.84%
    Al Fayha 18.02%
    Draw 20.13%
Al IttihadDrawAl Fayha
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.68% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.05% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.61% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.77% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.76% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.53% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.61% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.51% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 61.84%
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.13%
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 18.02%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al Fayha

Al Ittihad
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Al Fayha
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 8
Al Fayha
0-0
Al Ittihad
Kareem Al Baqawi (70')
Hamdallah (79'), Kadesh (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal28262086186880
2Al-Nassr28222483354868
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli28157654302452
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun29149648311751
5Al Ittihad29155955401550
6Al Ettifaq28101083328540
7Al Fateh29117114844440
8Damac29108114035538
9Al ShababAl Shabab29108113936338
10Al Fayha29108113846-838
11Al Khaleej2898113239-735
12Al WahdaAl Wahda2995154149-832
13Al RaedAl Raed2886143643-730
14Al Riyadh2977152651-2528
15Al Tai2975172957-2826
16Abha2874173174-4325
17Al Okhdood2873182347-2424
18Al Hazem29310162968-3919


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