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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
1 - 0
Al Okhdood

Kessie (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mohammed Saeed Al Muwallad (35'), Alberto Lobo Mendonca (36'), Hassan Mushaib Al Zabdani (54'), Awadh Al Yami (88+88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Okhdood, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Khaleej 1-3 Al-Ahli
Thursday, August 17 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Okhdood 1-3 Al Fateh
Friday, August 18 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Ahli 3-0 Al Okhdood

While Al-Ahli have hit the ground running in the new campaign, Al Okhdood have struggled to get going as they make their first-ever appearance in the top flight. Jaissle's have been one of the more active sides in the window and we fancy them cruising to a comfortable victory against the inexperienced visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 51.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 22.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for an Al Okhdood win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al-Ahli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Ahli.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Okhdood
51.19% (-0.412 -0.41) 26.29% (0.176 0.18) 22.52% (0.238 0.24)
Both teams to score 45.57% (-0.202 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.39% (-0.404 -0.4)57.61% (0.406 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.62% (-0.32 -0.32)78.38% (0.324 0.32)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.39% (-0.34899999999999 -0.35)22.61% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.77% (-0.523 -0.52)56.23% (0.526 0.53)
Al Okhdood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.89% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)41.11% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.35% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)77.65% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 51.19%
    Al Okhdood 22.52%
    Draw 26.28%
Al-AhliDrawAl Okhdood
1-0 @ 13.82% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.27% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.09% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 51.19%
1-1 @ 12.28% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.3% (0.143 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.128 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.46% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.67% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 22.52%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al Okhdood

Al-Ahli
94.1%
Draw
0.0%
Al Okhdood
5.9%
17
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal31292095207589
2Al-Nassr31252493375677
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli31177761342758
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun311410748341452
5Al Ittihad31155115648850
6Al Ettifaq31111194132944
7Al Fateh31119115248442
8Al Fayha31119114249-742
9Al ShababAl Shabab31118124238441
10Damac31109124139239
11Al Khaleej3199133342-936
12Al WahdaAl Wahda31105164356-1335
13Al RaedAl Raed3188153948-932
14Al Riyadh3179152853-2530
15Abha3185183479-4529
16Al Okhdood3184192950-2128
17Al Tai3177173058-2828
18Al Hazem31311173072-4220


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