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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
3 - 1
Al Hazem

Firmino (6', 10', 72')
Hindi (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vinicius (50')
Al Shammari (13'), Al Mhemaid (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Hazem, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Duhail 1-1 Al-Ahli
Friday, April 30 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League

We said: Al-Ahli 3-1 Al Hazem

With an almost entirely overhauled squad that now features players that have experience at the very highest level of football, Al Ahli Saudi are a side that are expected to do well this season, and we expect they get going with a solid win in their first match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Al Hazem had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Al Hazem win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Al-Ahli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Ahli.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Hazem
41.67% (-0.379 -0.38) 28.75% (0.417 0.42) 29.57% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.3% (-1.131 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.06% (-1.404 -1.4)61.93% (1.4 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.31% (-1.048 -1.05)81.69% (1.045 1.05)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (-0.89399999999999 -0.89)29.31% (0.89 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.71% (-1.108 -1.11)65.29% (1.106 1.11)
Al Hazem Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (-0.8 -0.8)37.32% (0.795 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (-0.797 -0.8)74.1% (0.794 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 41.66%
    Al Hazem 29.57%
    Draw 28.75%
Al-AhliDrawAl Hazem
1-0 @ 13.42% (0.36 0.36)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.155 -0.15)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.075 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 41.66%
1-1 @ 13.23% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 10.94% (0.56 0.56)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.165 -0.17)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.75%
0-1 @ 10.78% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 6.52% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 29.57%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al Hazem

Al-Ahli
82.9%
Draw
11.4%
Al Hazem
5.7%
35
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Al-Ahli
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal30282091197286
2Al-Nassr31252493375677
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli30167759332655
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun311410748341452
5Al Ittihad31155115648850
6Al Ettifaq31111194132944
7Al Fateh31119115248442
8Al Fayha31119114249-742
9Al ShababAl Shabab30118114136541
10Damac31109124139239
11Al Khaleej3199133342-936
12Al WahdaAl Wahda31105164356-1335
13Al RaedAl Raed3087153847-931
14Al Riyadh3179152853-2530
15Abha3185183479-4529
16Al Okhdood3184192950-2128
17Al Tai3076172957-2827
18Al Hazem30311162968-3920


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