Nizhny Novgorod

1 - 2

Ufa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nizhny Novgorod win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for FC Ufa had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.53%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest FC Ufa win was 0-1 (11.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.