Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%).
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
23.63% | 23.15% | 53.22% |
Both teams to score 56.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.89% | 44.11% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.51% | 66.49% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.44% | 32.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.91% | 69.09% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.45% | 16.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.69% | 46.31% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
2-1 @ 6.1% 1-0 @ 6.05% 2-0 @ 3.39% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2.05% 3-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.49% Total : 23.63% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 5.49% 0-0 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-1 @ 9.69% 0-2 @ 8.72% 1-3 @ 5.87% 0-3 @ 5.23% 2-3 @ 3.29% 1-4 @ 2.64% 0-4 @ 2.35% 2-4 @ 1.48% 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.22% Total : 53.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
11 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |