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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 28, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Arouca

Rio Ave
1 - 0
Arouca

Vitor (69')
Patrick (13'), Graca (28'), Boateng (72'), Luiz (90+9')
Pantalon (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Esgaio (45+4'), Sylla (45+1'), Evangelista (45+1'), Opoku (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last Game: Boavista 3-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, April 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Arouca

All competitions
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Vizela
Sunday, April 23 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Rio Ave 0-1 Arouca

 Rio Ave's form has dipped recently, and they have little to play for at this stage of the season, while Arouca are still battling for the final Europa Conference League qualification spot. As such, we expect the visitors to come away with a narrow victory, in what is likely to be a low-scoring game, given that Evangelista's side have conceded just two goals in their last eight matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawArouca
42.97% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 27.25%29.78% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.56% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.38% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)56.62% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.41% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)77.59% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)61.15% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.7% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)34.3% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)71% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 42.97%
    Arouca 29.78%
    Draw 27.24%
Rio AveDrawArouca
1-0 @ 12.02%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 8.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 42.97%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.24%
0-1 @ 9.58%
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 29.78%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Arouca

Rio Ave
35.7%
Draw
14.3%
Arouca
50.0%
28
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 6pm
gameweek 13
Arouca
0-1
Rio Ave

Soro (45')
Yakubu (59' pen.)
Aug 1, 2021 5pm
Second Round
Arouca
0-1
Rio Ave

Othavio Basso (37')
Othavio Basso (42')
Aderlan (38')
Gomes (23'), Gomes (40'), Manuel (50'), Ukra (90+5')
Apr 21, 2017 8.30pm
Rio Ave
3-0
Arouca
Jubal (42' og.), Krovinovic (45'), Tarantini (57')
Guedes (38'), Dias (70'), Marcelo (79'), Krovinovic (83')

Velasquez (38'), Bastos (68'), Tomane (82')
Dec 12, 2016 8pm
Arouca
0-2
Rio Ave

Bracali (90')
Bernardes (75')
Nelsinho (89' og.), Ronan (94')
Apr 16, 2016 4.15pm
Arouca
0-0
Rio Ave

Adilson (22'), Gege (52'), Bernardes (66')

Roderick (13'), dos Santos Ferreira (50'), Novais (57'), Tarantini (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica33254476274979
3Porto33216662273569
4Braga33215771492268
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes33186949371260
6MoreirenseMoreirense33157113434052
7AroucaArouca33137135347646
8FamalicaoFamalicao331012113639-342
9SC FarenseFarense33107164548-337
10Rio AveRio Ave3361893742-536
11Gil Vicente3399154251-936
12Casa Pia3398163649-1335
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista33710163760-2331
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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