Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
31.34% ( -0) | 28.92% ( 0.03) | 39.73% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 44.48% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.98% ( -0.1) | 62.02% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.25% ( -0.07) | 81.75% ( 0.07) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.98% ( -0.06) | 36.02% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.2% ( -0.06) | 72.8% ( 0.05) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.52% ( -0.07) | 30.48% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.31% ( -0.08) | 66.69% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 31.34% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.91% | 0-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.75% 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.38% Total : 39.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
4 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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