Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Casa Pia |
23.3% ( -0.19) | 25.58% ( 0.09) | 51.11% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 48.36% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.6% ( -0.5) | 54.4% ( 0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.22% ( -0.42) | 75.77% ( 0.42) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.46% ( -0.46) | 38.54% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.71% ( -0.44) | 75.29% ( 0.44) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.68% ( -0.17) | 21.31% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.74% ( -0.26) | 54.26% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.52% Total : 23.3% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.25% Total : 51.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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