Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
35.23% | 27.95% | 36.83% |
Both teams to score 47.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.92% | 58.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.25% | 78.75% |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.73% | 31.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.38% | 67.62% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.74% | 30.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.56% | 66.44% |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.98% Total : 35.22% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.46% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.94% | 0-1 @ 11.31% 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-2 @ 6.76% 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 1.82% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.32% Total : 36.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |