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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 29, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Santa Clara

Casa Pia
2 - 1
Santa Clara

Soma (75'), Clayton (90+4')
Godwin (6'), Kunimoto (13'), Martins (35'), Soares (42'), Baro (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Silva (82' pen.)
Bobsin (70'), Adriano (90+3'), Babi (90+5'), Henrique (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Gil Vicente
Sunday, January 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-3 Benfica
Saturday, January 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 3-1 Santa Clara

Having suffered a slump in recent weeks, Casa Pia will be happy to go up against a floundering Santa Clara side who are without a win in eight straight games. The Acoreanos' lack of goalscoring threat remains a cause for concern and we are backing Casa Pia to outscore the visitors and walk away with all three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawSanta Clara
39.49% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 28.42% (0.0030000000000001 0) 32.09% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 46.07% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.84% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)60.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.64% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)80.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)29.69% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)65.75% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52% (0.0019999999999953 0)34.48% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.81% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)71.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 39.49%
    Santa Clara 32.09%
    Draw 28.41%
Casa PiaDrawSanta Clara
1-0 @ 12.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99%
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 39.49%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 10.23%
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.41%
0-1 @ 10.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-2 @ 5.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 32.09%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Santa Clara

Casa Pia
100%
Draw
0.0%
Santa Clara
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 3.30pm
Santa Clara
0-0
Casa Pia

Boateng (32')
Antonio (81')

Neto (25'), Jorge Cecilia Batista (61'), Taira (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica33254476274979
3Porto33216662273569
4Braga33215771492268
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes33186949371260
6MoreirenseMoreirense33157113434052
7AroucaArouca33137135347646
8FamalicaoFamalicao331012113639-342
9SC FarenseFarense33107164548-337
10Rio AveRio Ave3361893742-536
11Gil Vicente3399154251-936
12Casa Pia3398163649-1335
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista33710163760-2331
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823


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