MX23RW : Monday, May 13 08:50:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 22, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Gil Vicente logo

Casa Pia
1 - 3
Gil Vicente

Martins (46')
Baro (44'), Martins (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Navarro (50', 62'), Carvalho (54')
Kritsyuk (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 2-0 Casa Pia
Monday, January 16 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-1 Guimaraes
Monday, January 16 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 2-1 Gil Vicente

On course to make their maiden appearance in a UEFA-organised competition across the club's 102-year history, we predict that Casa Pia will take one step closer to their end-of-season aim with three points at the Estadio Pina Manique on Sunday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawGil Vicente
32.02% (-1.039 -1.04) 26.59% (-0.29 -0.29) 41.39% (1.329 1.33)
Both teams to score 51.46% (0.597 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.66% (0.903 0.9)53.34% (-0.902 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.12% (0.759 0.76)74.88% (-0.759 -0.76)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (-0.241 -0.24)31% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.69% (-0.285 -0.28)67.3% (0.28399999999999 0.28)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.58% (1.123 1.12)25.42% (-1.122 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.76% (1.511 1.51)60.24% (-1.512 -1.51)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 32.02%
    Gil Vicente 41.39%
    Draw 26.59%
Casa PiaDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.397 -0.4)
2-1 @ 7.4% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.41% (-0.27 -0.27)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.02%
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.88% (-0.284 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.077 0.08)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 10.79% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.66% (0.189 0.19)
0-2 @ 7.39% (0.21 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.95% (0.208 0.21)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.199 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.107 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.112 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 41.39%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Gil Vicente

Casa Pia
92.9%
Draw
0.0%
Gil Vicente
7.1%
14
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica33254476274979
3Porto33216662273569
4Braga33215771492268
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes33186949371260
6MoreirenseMoreirense33157113434052
7AroucaArouca33137135347646
8FamalicaoFamalicao331012113639-342
9SC FarenseFarense33107164548-337
10Rio AveRio Ave3361893742-536
11Gil Vicente3399154251-936
12Casa Pia3398163649-1335
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista33710163760-2331
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!